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Economic and Market Outlooks Insights

Joseph Matus

Principal

Economic and Market Outlooks

What’s on Our Minds

November 10, 2025 - The Secured Overnight Financing Rate—a key short-term borrowing rate—has risen above normal levels due to quantitative tightening and the government shutdown, but these pressures should…

Joseph Matus, Principal

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Video: November 2025 Economic and Market Outlook

November 5, 2025 - This year has been a very positive one for the markets, but does the recent gold rally suggest that things are getting frothy? Might concerns…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Ben Pace

Partner & Chief Investment Officer

Economic and Market Outlooks

Fourth Quarter 2025 Economic and Market Outlook

October 9, 2025 - The U.S. economy continues to outperform global peers, supported by resilient growth, strong earnings, and optimism around AI-driven investment, even as tariffs and still-tight monetary…

Ben Pace, Partner & Chief Investment Officer

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Video: October 2025 Economic & Market Outlook

October 1, 2025 - “Giddy” isn’t a word we usually associate with Partner and Chief Equity Strategist Jim Lebenthal. However, in this Monthly Outlook, he shares some of the signs…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Video: September 2025 Economic & Market Outlook

September 5, 2025 - The numbers for this month indicate that above-average economic growth and below-average unemployment may continue. However, there might still be cause for concern: Hear why…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Video: August 2025 Economic & Market Outlook

August 1, 2025 - We’ve reached the second half of 2025. Will the drama that attended the first half of the year be worth it? Here’s why Jim Lebenthal…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist
Economic and Market Outlooks

Webinar Recording: Q3 2025 Market & Economic Outlook

July 23, 2025 - Our Investment Office breaks down the ripple effects of the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act and recent tariff hikes. Get answers to key questions about…

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Video: July 2025 Economic & Market Outlook

July 1, 2025 - The financial markets seem to be sending us a message about presidential policies and the “Big, Beautiful Bill.” Jim Lebenthal explores what they might be…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Video: June 2025 Economic & Market Outlook

June 2, 2025 - Markets have rebounded, and recession risks have eased—Jim Lebenthal weighs in on what investors should watch in this market outlook.

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

On-Demand Webinar: Recession Risks, Tariffs, and Where Opportunity Remains

April 29, 2025 - Apollo Global Management Partner and Chief Economist Torsten Slok joins Jim Lebenthal to discuss the economy, tariffs, and where there may still be opportunity in today’s market.

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Is It Time to Panic? (Spoiler Alert: No, It Is Not)

April 3, 2025 - Tariffs and policy uncertainty have spooked investors, but good outcomes for the markets and economy are more probable than you might think.

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist
Economic and Market Outlooks

On Recent Market Volatility: Recession, Tariffs, and DOGE: Where Is the U.S. Headed?

March 14, 2025 - You're not alone if you’re concerned about the economy and your finances. News site headlines and chyrons scrolling across cable TV channels probably aren’t helping,…

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

On Recent Market Volatility: It’s a Supertanker, Not a Jet-Ski

March 4, 2025 - Recent market volatility has raised fears of an economic slowdown, but history suggests that the U.S. economy is more like a supertanker than a jet…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

James Lebenthal

Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Economic and Market Outlooks

Trump 2.0: The Only Certain Thing Is Uncertainty

February 6, 2025 - The first two weeks of President Trump’s second term have set the stage for an unpredictable four years. With sweeping executive actions, policy reversals, and…

James Lebenthal, Partner & Chief Equity Strategist

Joseph Matus

Principal

Economic and Market Outlooks

Five Questions on Our Minds for 2025

January 7, 2025 - After turning the page on an action-packed 2024, here are five questions on our minds as we ponder the potential paths forward for 2025. These…

Joseph Matus, Principal