Joseph Matus , CFA
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Joe is a Principal in the Pennsylvania office. In his role in the Investment Office, Joe helps formulate the firm’s investment outlook. He supports advisors in portfolio construction with strategic and tactical asset allocations and delivers insightful research on economic and market developments. Joe also contributes to the firm’s manager research process, searching for best-in-class investment managers across traditional and private markets.
Prior to joining Cerity Partners, Joe served as an Analyst at Permit Capital Advisors, LLC. In that role, he contributed to all aspects of the research process, including due diligence on existing and new managers. Joe’s prior roles included investment research that spanned a range of asset classes, including equities, real estate, and alternative investments.
Economic and Market Outlooks
July’s soft inflation data—0.1% headline and 0.2% core CPI—has boosted the odds of a September Fed pause to 70% and encouraged investors to unwind near-term rate-hike bets, though markets still brace for modestly tighter policy ahead amid uncertainty over Middle East energy disruptions.
Economic and Market Outlooks
July payrolls badly missed expectations with 23,000 jobs lost versus a projected 93,000 gain, but statistical quirks like seasonal education adjustments and World Cup hiring payback likely overstate the weakness; meanwhile, the household survey showed a falling unemployment rate, no evidence of layoffs, and softening wage growth that is easing some near-term rate-hike expectations.
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